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Economic calendar

Main Refinancing Rate

EUR High Thu, 29 Oct, 13:15
How to read explanation, click to expand

Before the release: what happens to the currency if the figure comes out above, below or in line with the forecast. After it: the actual, the deviation and the reading for pairs. Below: past releases.

Releases at this time

EventPreviousThe previous is the value of the last release (sometimes already revised).ForecastThe forecast is what analysts expected before the release. The market prices the forecast in beforehand, so it is not the figure itself that moves the price but the gap from the forecast.ActualThe actual is the figure that came out. Green is above the forecast, red below.DeviationThe actual minus the forecast. The bigger it is, the stronger the move usually is.
Main Refinancing Rate 2.65% 2.65% 2.65% 0.00% in line
Monetary Policy Statement no data

Past releases

First figure Forecast
PeriodReleasedFirst figureThe first figure is how the indicator came out the first time, before revisions. It is what the market saw at the release.ForecastThe forecast is what analysts expected before the release. The market prices the forecast in beforehand, so it is not the figure itself that moves the price but the gap from the forecast.DeviationThe actual minus the forecast. The bigger it is, the stronger the move usually is.
Oct 2026 29.10.2026 2.65% 2.65% 0.00% in line
Sep 2026 10.09.2026 2.65%
Jul 2026 23.07.2026 2.40%
Jun 2026 11.06.2026 2.40%
Apr 2026 30.04.2026 2.15%
Mar 2026 19.03.2026 2.15%
Feb 2026 05.02.2026 2.15%
Dec 2025 18.12.2025 2.15%
Oct 2025 30.10.2025 2.15%
Sep 2025 11.09.2025 2.15%
Jul 2025 24.07.2025 2.15%
Jun 2025 05.06.2025 2.15%

Above the forecast: 0 of 1

Actual

2.65%
0.00% in line
Received
29.10.2026 13:15
Series
Ставка ЕЦБ по основным операциям (rate_decisions)

The forecast over time

ReceivedForecastThe forecast is what analysts expected before the release. The market prices the forecast in beforehand, so it is not the figure itself that moves the price but the gap from the forecast.PreviousThe previous is the value of the last release (sometimes already revised).
25.10.2026 07:172.65%2.65%
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