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Economic calendar

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index

USD Medium Thu, 15 Oct, 12:30
How to read explanation, click to expand

Before the release: what happens to the currency if the figure comes out above, below or in line with the forecast. After it: the actual, the deviation and the reading for pairs. Below: past releases.

Releases at this time

EventPreviousThe previous is the value of the last release (sometimes already revised).ForecastThe forecast is what analysts expected before the release. The market prices the forecast in beforehand, so it is not the figure itself that moves the price but the gap from the forecast.ActualThe actual is the figure that came out. Green is above the forecast, red below.DeviationThe actual minus the forecast. The bigger it is, the stronger the move usually is.
Philly Fed Manufacturing Index 37.8 28.2 20.9 −7.3 below
Core PPI m/m 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% +0.4% above
Core Retail Sales m/m 1.4% 0.6% 0.9% +0.3% above
Empire State Manufacturing Index 7.6 12.1 25.5 +13.4 above
PPI m/m 0.4% 0.6% 1.3% +0.7% above
Retail Sales m/m 1.2% 0.3% 0.8% +0.5% above
Unemployment Claims 197K 199K 199K 0K in line

Past releases

First figure Forecast
PeriodReleasedFirst figureThe first figure is how the indicator came out the first time, before revisions. It is what the market saw at the release.ForecastThe forecast is what analysts expected before the release. The market prices the forecast in beforehand, so it is not the figure itself that moves the price but the gap from the forecast.DeviationThe actual minus the forecast. The bigger it is, the stronger the move usually is.
Oct 2026 15.10.2026 20.9 28.2 −7.3 below
Sep 2026 17.09.2026 37.8
Aug 2026 20.08.2026 47.4
Jul 2026 16.07.2026 41.4
Jun 2026 18.06.2026 10.3
May 2026 21.05.2026 -0.4
Apr 2026 16.04.2026 26.7
Mar 2026 19.03.2026 18.1
Feb 2026 19.02.2026 16.3
Jan 2026 15.01.2026 12.6
Dec 2025 18.12.2025 -10.2
Nov 2025 20.11.2025 -1.7

Above the forecast: 0 of 1

Actual

20.9
−7.3 below
Received
01.11.2026 18:46
Series
Индекс ФРБ Филадельфии, промышленность

The forecast over time

ReceivedForecastThe forecast is what analysts expected before the release. The market prices the forecast in beforehand, so it is not the figure itself that moves the price but the gap from the forecast.PreviousThe previous is the value of the last release (sometimes already revised).
11.10.2026 05:3926.537.8
12.10.2026 21:5628.237.8
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