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Economic calendar

Goods Trade Balance

USD Low Wed, 30 Sep, 12:30
How to read explanation, click to expand

Before the release: what happens to the currency if the figure comes out above, below or in line with the forecast. After it: the actual, the deviation and the reading for pairs. Below: past releases.

Releases at this time

EventPreviousThe previous is the value of the last release (sometimes already revised).ForecastThe forecast is what analysts expected before the release. The market prices the forecast in beforehand, so it is not the figure itself that moves the price but the gap from the forecast.ActualThe actual is the figure that came out. Green is above the forecast, red below.DeviationThe actual minus the forecast. The bigger it is, the stronger the move usually is.
Goods Trade Balance -118.8B -116.3B -132.6B −16.3B below
Core PCE Price Index m/m 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% −0.1% below
Final GDP Price Index q/q 6.4% 6.4% 6.1% −0.3% below
Final GDP q/q 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% +0.7% above
Personal Income m/m 0.4% 0.5% 0.2% −0.3% below
Personal Spending m/m 0.2% 0.8% 0.9% +0.1% above
Prelim Wholesale Inventories m/m 1.3% 0.5% waiting for the actual

Past releases

First figure Forecast
PeriodReleasedFirst figureThe first figure is how the indicator came out the first time, before revisions. It is what the market saw at the release.ForecastThe forecast is what analysts expected before the release. The market prices the forecast in beforehand, so it is not the figure itself that moves the price but the gap from the forecast.DeviationThe actual minus the forecast. The bigger it is, the stronger the move usually is.
Sep 2026 28.10.2026 -134.9B -130.4B −4.5B below
Aug 2026 30.09.2026 -132.6B -116.3B −16.3B below
Jul 2026 27.08.2026 -118.8B
Jun 2026 28.07.2026 -101.5B
May 2026 26.06.2026 -105.8B
Apr 2026 29.05.2026 -82.4B
Mar 2026 29.04.2026 -87.9B
Dec 2025 19.02.2026 -98.5B
Aug 2025 25.09.2025 -85.5B
Jul 2025 29.08.2025 -103.6B
Jun 2025 29.07.2025 -86.0B
May 2025 26.06.2025 -96.6B

Above the forecast: 0 of 2

Actual

-132.6B
−16.3B below
Received
01.11.2026 18:14
Series
Торговый баланс товаров США, предварительный

The forecast over time

ReceivedForecastThe forecast is what analysts expected before the release. The market prices the forecast in beforehand, so it is not the figure itself that moves the price but the gap from the forecast.PreviousThe previous is the value of the last release (sometimes already revised).
30.09.2026 11:21-116.3B-118.8B
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